Welcome to free agency, everybody — we’ve made it! Here at The Next, we’re ever-dedicated to both fun projects and creating resources, so several of us came together to look at the free-agent market, team cap sheets, and league trends to help set some expectations for this year’s impending offseason moves. Listed below are all restricted free agents, sorted by total projected contract value. Their contract projections and team predictions are visible. And where there were enough responses, a visual breakdown of our predictions can be seen by clicking “See more detail”. There you have a graph of our responses for length and a histogram to show the distribution of average annual values (AAV, i.e. salaries).
(Note to email subscribers: click through to see all the fancy charts and graphs!)
Coming in Part II: unrestricted free agents.
Note: There are 30 graphs in this article — it will take slightly longer than usual to load. It is recommended that you hit “Show less detail” on when done with a given player.
Restricted free agents
1. Myisha Hines-Allen, combo forward, 25 years old
| Length | AAV | Total | |
| Median | 3 | $153K | $518K |
| Average | 3 | $157K | $501K |
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2. A’ja Wilson, big, 25 years old
| Length | AAV | Total | |
| Median | 2 | $196K | $393K |
| Average | 2 | $196K | $441K |
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3. Diamond DeShields, wing, 27 years old
| Length | AAV | Total | |
| Median | 3 | $135K | $330K |
| Average | 3 | $137K | $378K |
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4. Mercedes Russell, center, 26 years old
| Length | AAV | Total | |
| Median | 2 | $149K | $317K |
| Average | 2 | $141K | $342K |
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5. Jordin Canada, point guard, 26 years old
| Length | AAV | Total | |
| Median | 2 | $96K | $192K |
| Average | 2 | $100K | $208K |
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6. Monique Billings, big, 26 years old
| Length | AAV | Total | |
| Median | 2 | $91K | $183K |
| Average | 2 | $88K | $158K |
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7. Stephanie Talbot, off-ball guard, 27 years old
| Length | AAV | Total | |
| Median | 2 | $87K | $173K |
| Average | 2 | $91K | $163K |
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8. Kia Nurse, off-ball guard, 26 years old
| Length | AAV | Total | |
| Median | 2 | $98K | $140K |
| Average | 2 | $102K | $177K |
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9. Lindsay Allen, point guard, 27 years old
| Length | AAV | Total | |
| Median | 1 | $79K | $80K |
| Average | 1 | $79K | $99K |
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10. Lexie Brown, combo guard, 27 years old
| Length | AAV | Total | |
| Median | 1 | $74K | $74K |
| Average | 1 | $74K | $94K |
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